California Governor Gavin Newsom, who has been the target of
constant criticism from Republicans and most Californians due to his state's
high taxes and the strict measures he implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic,
is beginning to emerge as one of the strongest contenders within the Democratic
Party for the 2028 presidential election.
According to a Yahoo News/YouGov poll released on September
2, Newsom leads the primary race with 21% support among registered Democrats,
placing him ahead of other potential party contenders. His national visibility
has grown in recent years thanks to his combative style against Republican
leaders.
However, his rise is not without challenges. Critics,
especially within the Republican Party and increasingly among Democrats, point
out that California faces high levels of internal migration to other states,
public safety issues, and a housing crisis that could become weak points for
Newsom during a presidential campaign.
Meanwhile, current Vice President J.D. Vance, widely
considered the likely Republican nominee in 2028, is already reportedly working
on a strategy to capitalize on these vulnerabilities. Vance, who has a rising
national profile after running alongside Donald Trump on the presidential
ticket, has emphasized the need to contrast the "California reality"
with the conservative vision of order, economic growth, and border control
promoted by his party.
Political analysts emphasize that the eventual contest
between Newsom and Vance could represent a generational clash and a clash of
visions for the future of the United States: on the one hand, the progressive
West Coast model that has become a major failure; on the other, a conservative
politician with roots in the Midwest, a defender of family, property, and
freedom.
Although there are still three years to go before the formal
start of the presidential race, initial polls show that both Democrats and
Republicans are already preparing for a highly polarized election cycle.
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