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In American politics, the most dangerous rivals aren't always the loudest, but rather those who rise to prominence while everyone else is looking elsewhere. Something like that, according to political analyst Chris Cillizza, is happening with current Vice President J.D. Vance.

During a recent live stream on his YouTube channel, the NewsNation contributor issued a stark warning: Vance is a formidable presidential candidate for 2028, and Democrats are underestimating him at their own peril.

This isn't just a loose cannon. The numbers are beginning to back up that perception.

An Emerson College poll released last week shows Vance with a 46% approval rating, a respectable figure for a vice president who isn't yet the face of the administration. In fact, that level of support puts him ahead of several prominent Republicans and Democrats, including names already being mentioned as potential contenders in the 2028 presidential race.

The data is politically significant for several reasons.

First, because Vance is not a traditional politician. He doesn't come from decades of experience in Washington or from a party dynasty. His profile blends populist rhetoric, criticism of the establishment, and an "outsider" narrative that resonates with broad sectors of the electorate, especially in industrial states and the so-called "heartland."

Second, because his role as vice president has allowed him to grow without yet bearing the full weight of power, while benefiting from the visibility and political structure of the government.

And third, because, as Cillizza points out, there is a certain tendency within the Democratic camp to downplay him, to see him as a secondary or transitional figure. This type of miscalculation has already had consequences in recent American history.

The 46% approval rating doesn't guarantee a future victory, but it does indicate something very concrete: Vance is not an experiment or a fringe prospect. He is a politician with a real base, national recognition, and clear room to grow in the coming years.

Furthermore, in a context where many voters are looking for figures who combine hard-hitting rhetoric with a credible personal narrative, Vance fits a profile that could prove especially competitive: someone who speaks out against the elites, but who is already within the center of power.

For now, 2028 is still a long way off. But in American politics, presidential races begin long before they are officially announced.

And Cillizza's message is as simple as it is unsettling for his adversaries: If they continue to see J.D. Vance as a supporting actor, they may find too late that he is already the leading man.